" Are you watching the major transformations, or just the piddly stuff?
I spoke in November in Iowa to a group of energy cooperatives, providing some different insight into the future of energy supply in terms of not what's happening today, but in terms of "what comes later" -- say, five, ten or fifteen years out.
Likewise, I'll be speaking to the Healthcare Industry Distributors Association at the end of the month. Many of the folks in the room will be focused on the short term trends that surround them; they won't be thinking about the massive transformation that is really going to impact their industry over the longer term.
That's the problem that people usually have when they try to figure out the future. They tend to focus on the the small, incidental, day-to-day, one-to-two-to-five year trends that they can see around them.
I take my time looking for the “big transformations” – the sweeping, massive, significant types of change that causes everyone to sit back twenty years later and ask, “Wow! Where did that come from?”
Read it all : http://www.jimcarroll.com/weblog/archives/000814.html
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